Thursday, August 18, 2005

Monthly Performance of Dow from 1900-2004


Monthly Performance of Dow from 1900-2004
Month% of (+)% of (-)Average Return Average Loss Average Return

Months Months(+) Months(-) Months(1900-2004)
January 63% 37% 3.66%-3.58% 1.02%
February 49% 51% 3.06%-2.94% 0.30%
March 59% 41% 3.59%-3.72% 0.57%
April 57% 43% 4.58%-3.50% 1.08%
May 54% 46% 3.43%-4.18%-0.08%
June 48% 52% 4.25%-3.20% 0.34%
July 61% 39% 4.50%-3.53% 1.42%
August 65% 35% 3.86%-4.47% 0.99%
September 30% 70% 3.49%-4.69%-1.31%
October 59% 41% 3.60%-4.54% 0.32%
November 59% 41% 4.69%-5.28% 0.63%
December 70% 30% 3.13%-3.07% 1.27%
(Amateur Investors*)

Wednesday, August 10, 2005

news

LONDON -- Prime Minister Tony Blair said he will seek the enactment of new deportation measures for use against people who foster hatred and advocate violence, following last month's bombings of London's transportation system. Clerics who preach hate and Web sites or book shops that sponsor violence would be targeted, Mr. Blair said, and foreign nationals could be deported under the new measures. (WSJ)

The Securities and Exchange Commission has told Scott DeSano, the former head of Fidelity Investments' powerful stock-trading desk that it is considering civil charges against him in the agency's investigation of gifts allegedly lavished on Fidelity employees by Wall Street firms, according to people familiar with the matter. (WSJ)

August 9, 2005 -- Two former Citigroup executives are accused of diverting tens of millions of dollars back to the company instead of passing them along to the firm's mutual fund investors. (NY POST)

Aug. 5 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. employers added 207,000 workers in July, more than forecast, suggesting companies are gaining confidence as the economy picks up steam in the second half. The unemployment rate held at 5 percent.

Federal prosecutors have stepped up their criminal investigation of Milberg Weiss, the nation's largest class-action law firm, granting immunity to two former partners as they intensify their scrutiny of a third, prominent litigator William S. Lerach. (WSJ)

Next week sees the anniversary of the Netscape initial public offering – an event that triggered Wall Street’s dotcom mania. Netscape’s browser made the internet a more conducive place for the non-technical user and spurred the creation of companies such as eBay, Yahoo and Amazon.com, which have all had 10th birthday parties of their own – although most dotcom companies never made it this far. (FT)

Web search engine Baidu.com, billed as China's answer to Google Inc., quadrupled to more than $120 a share in its debut Friday after raising its price for a second time and boosting the number of shares sold to the public. (WSJ)

Aug. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose to a record, nearing $63 a barrel in New York, as surging fuel demand strains refineries and after a terror threat against the U.S. embassy in Saudi Arabia heightened concern about Middle East supplies.

TOKYO — Postal privatization minister Heizo Takenaka said Monday that Japan faces a huge loss due to the upper house's rejection earlier in the day of bills aimed at privatizing state-run postal services. "For the future of Japan and the nation's economy, it's a considerably huge loss," he told reporters. (JapanToday.com)

Citing U.S. military and intelligence officials, NBC said American soldiers intercepted a large shipment of high explosives last week, smuggled into northeastern Iraq from Iran. The officials told the network the shipment contained dozens of recently-manufactured "shaped charges" -- especially lethal weapons designed to concentrate and direct a more powerful blast into a small area. (NBC)

The letter, written to Jordanian leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi by a fighter calling himself Abu Zayd, was discovered by U.S. forces during a raid on an insurgent safe house in Mosul on July 27, He complains that the Mosul leadership of the Al Qaeda in Iraq branch is incompetent, lacks training, and does not collaborate. (FOX NEWS)

When Mrs. Clinton first came to us and said she wanted to be a New Yorker, she asked New York to put out a welcome mat and we did," the Westchester County district attorney said in a statement. "But now she wants us to re-elect her even though she won't promise to serve out her term and wants to use us as a springboard to the presidency. She's asking us to become her doormat." (ALBANY, N.Y. -- Jeanine Pirro, a high-profile prosecutor in the New York City suburbs, said Monday she will seek the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton next year.)

BIADU spells NETSCAPE in Chinese

August 6,2004

Hello,

Ok I have held my tongue long enough, if Jason Giambi can make a come back so can the stock market. Jason has gone from the scrap heap of the steroid scandal, “Mr Washed up” to the New York Yankee player of the month in July batting over 350 and connecting on 14 home runs.

Incidentally while you were away on your summer vacation and in case you missed it, the last 8-6 weeks have been the best trading weeks in 5 years. Yes I know not all stocks are up but now for the first time since the turn of the century, the turn of the millennium and the turn of the decade, the bull market has resumed and stocks are going up and now we have a chance. Yes I know I never though it would last this long, I thought things would pick up much earlier. Earnings and productivity growth looked like they would be enough. Unlike many other market analysis columns, I take my swings and analyze my mistakes. Unfortunately often it is the failures that you learn the most from. Some times you can be in the right place in the right sector but the timing can be slightly off. Sometimes you can buy the same investment for hundreds of investors and show different returns for each one. In recent years we have gone from what I would call an almost instantaneous response to events by stock prices to a more cynical delayed response suggesting an extreme distrust of information sources. This lag has altered significantly the stock trading landscape. Some stocks seem to suffer by what I would call the believability factor, no matter what the results suspicions abound, and while other stocks seem to gain instant credibility no matter what their results.

It is just about 10 years since the NETSCAPE IPO. It was clearly the IPO that changed the world; bringing the internet to Joe and Jill six pack. The real impact of the internet on how we live and work is just beginning to be felt. In the post bubble world we all have a tendency to forget how special the advent of the internet really is. The internet gives us information at our fingertips, the ability to customize solutions at a mass produced price, setting us free to compete with much larger competitors, transforming almost every sector of the economy it touches. Don’t think so, think about the world before the internet; astonishing isn’t it. On the other hand, recent rallies in Chinese internet stocks such as BIADU or rallies in GOOGLE seem to be a reminder of the bitter taste of past follies.


James

www.jamesfoytlin.com

Wednesday, August 03, 2005

in the news this week

Washington, D.C.-Senator Norm Coleman today submitted a statement into the Congressional Record denouncing a final report issued by the United Nations' Working Group on Internet Governance (WGIG) suggesting that the U.N. assume global governance of the Internet. Since its inception and creation in the United States, the U.S. has assumed the historic role of overseeing the Internet's growth and has overseen its development. The U.N. taskforce report suggests that in addition to terminating the U.S.'s leadership role, the authority and functions of the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN), a non-profit organization overseen by the U.S. Department of Commerce, should be transferred as well. Senator Coleman strongly opposes these measures. (Matt Drudge)

July 29 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy grew at a 3.4 percent annual pace from April through June, the ninth straight quarter exceeding 3 percent, as booming sales allowed companies to pare bloated inventories. Inflation slowed. .. The string of quarterly growth increases exceeding 3 percent is the longest since the 13 quarters ended in the first three months of 1986.

July 29 (Bloomberg) -- A handwritten lyric of the Beatles song, ``All You Need is Love,'' sold for a hammer price of 600,000 pounds ($1 million) last night at a sale of John Lennon memorabilia in London's Hippodrome rock-music venue.

Economists are lifting projections for U.S. economic growth in the second half on expectations that the nation's retailers and manufacturers will be restocking inventories and ramping up production to keep up with demand. (WSJ)

August 2, 2005 -- Morgan Stanley's new CEO, John Mack, addressed his beleaguered retail brokerage troops yesterday on the firm-wide squawk box and helpfully explained that "Kissing ass just won't cut it anymore." (NY POST)

We are appealing to the United Nations, human rights groups, and other nations to pressure our government to release my husband. Our struggle must reach out past the borders of Iran now. Our leaders will not listen to their people, they will only respond to external pressure." (The wife of dissident journalist Akbar Ganji yesterday told The New York Sun)

(Washington, NY SUN)- A spokesman for Iran’s union of student organizations. Tahkim Vahdat says a hunger strike by jailed dissident journalist, Arbar Ganji, has inspired the country’s democracy movement.

“Before deploying from Savannah, Georgia, to Iraq by a chartered airliner, the troops of the 48th Brigade Combat Team, a National Guard unit, had to go through the same security checks as any other passengers. Lt. Col. John King, the unit's commander, told his 280 fellow soldiers that FAA anti-hijacking regulations require passengers to surrender pocket knives, nose hair scissors and cigarette lighters. "If you have any of those things," he said, almost apologetically, "put them in this box now" as you cannot take them onto the airplane with you. The troops were, however, allowed to take their assault rifles, body armour, helmets, pistols, bayonets and combat shotguns.”

Sources familiar with the investigation tell ABC News an additional 12 bombs and four improvised detonators were found in the trunk of a car believed to be rented by suicide bomber Shehzad Tanweer. Police believe the bombers drove the car to Luton, where they boarded trains to London. (ABC)

Vardan Kushnir, notorious for sending spam to each and every citizen of Russia who appeared to have an email was found dead in his Moscow apartment on Sunday, Interfax reported Monday .He died after suffering repeated blows to the head. (MosNews.com)

"I summon my blue-eyed slaves anytime it pleases me. I command the Americans to send me their bravest soldiers to die for me. Anytime I clap my hands a stupid genie called the American ambassador appears to do my bidding. When the Americans die in my service their bodies are frozen in metal boxes by the US Embassy and American airplanes carry them away, as if they never existed. Truly, America is my favorite slave."(King Fahd Bin Abdul-Aziz, Jeddeh 1993)

Eminem and the Tweenies might make unusual bedfellows. But the BBC was yesterday forced to censor a song by the popular children's characters, not for reasons of sex or violence but because it was likely to cause tooth decay. (The Guardian)

The sculpture, a plastic bottle of water full of melted ice from the Antarctic, was intended to be a telling comment on the dangers of global warming. But one light-fingered, and presumably thirsty, visitor to the exhibition may have missed the point. Rather than musing on the hazards that will be created if the icecaps melt, the visitor is believed to have drunk the piece. Police have been called in to investigate the mystery of the missing water bottle, which vanished from the Way With Words literary festival at Dartington Hall in south Devon. (The Guardian)

lost in Space..........All You Need is Love....and no more kissing (up)....

July 29th 2005

Hello,

Am I the only one that doesn’t think it is cool for NASA to ground the shuttle fleet while there is still a mission going on? Somehow I don’t think it is a confidence builder for the Discovery astronauts.

According to Bloomberg Radio 87% of companies are making their earning this earnings season, that’s a far cry from the pessimistic view that was expected. My question is and why was, is everyone so pessimistic? The net effect of all this pessimism is the current summer rally. How long will the rally last, my guess till sometime in August perhaps as late as very early September. Again I think we could consolidate through September till the 3rd week in October. Then if all goes well the semiconductors should begin to take off. The new bull market looks after 5 years of sub par returns to be upon us. Housing continues to prove resilient, through many of the stocks seem a bit peaky. Semi ‘s are moving and Bio Techs are on fire. Of coarse the story of the decade, energy also continues to act positively. Why am I not jumping into Bio Techs? In the past I have found that the Bio Techs are very hard to trade and no matter what kind of company or how established, you could lose most or all of your money at the drop of the hat. With Bio Techs I prefer to find patient investors who are willing to buy them when they are down and out and just wait till they get lively selling into the rally.

Bring back the long bond they say. So what would be the net effect of the return of the 30 year Treasury bond which was discontinued in 2001. My bet is the reintroduction of the long term bench mark will give traders of both stocks and bonds a better feel for which way long term interest rates and inflation are moving. More supply of 30 year bonds will also have the effect of raising long term rates by increasing the supply of 30 year bonds and thus lowering the 30 year bond prices and yes this could lead to higher mortgage prices. I was one of those people that thought that the Treasury should have never gotten rid of the 30 year to begin with. The 30 year was a very good predictor of future economic activity, the 10 year simply could not cut it and I think that its demise has led to some very weak stock markets the last few years.

James

Friday, July 29, 2005

Thank you from the MDA

Just wanted to take this time to thank you for your generous donations to the MDA, The New Jersey MDA chapter has 1700 clients who receive direct benefits. I really appreciate you're efforts to contribute.

Thank you again

James J Foytlin

Monday, July 25, 2005

Bio Tech Index

Check out my updated website…

http://www.jamesfoytlin.com/

RDX or TATP what does it matter ..if the summer rally continues?

July 17,2005
Hello,
This week it is all about earnings, hurricanes and takeovers. About 1000 companies report earnings, Hurricane Emily crashes a shore near Cancun and not to be out done investment bankers are capitalizing on the low equity valuations perusing the urge to merge. Going into the week Semi conductors and Bio Techs have been leading the way, but let’s see if this weeks earning announcements move this trend forward or make it yesterday’s news. There seems to be a lot of resilience in this market weather it be an act of international terrorism or a natural disaster.

The big news seems to be that China has begun the long overdue process to turn the Yaun into a fully convertible currency. This initial step of letting the Yaun fluctuate versus a basket of currencies first major effect so far has been to cause a sell down in the US treasury market, perhaps alleviating the flatness in the yield curve. The translation into plain English means long term rates ie…mortgage rates will begin to rise. Will rates raise enough to discourage home buying ,I am not sure .The Magic number with mortgage rates is like the magic number of the price of gas .What price will it take to discourage one type of economic activity and encourage another? What may hurt home buyers, may very positively enhance equity valuations because as the saying goes a flat yield curve leads to a recession. What is a flat yield curve? Again this is far less complicated than it sounds and simply means that short term interest rates are the same or more than long term rates, another words there is no time premium for the lender. The stock market views a flat yield curve very negatively, because it points to a slow down in future economic activity. How flat was the yield curve, well the 3month yield is 3.35% and the 30 years is 4.50%. That’s not exactly flat but for example July of last year the 3 month was 1.35% and the 30 year was 5.20%, now that’s a yield curve. Another issue that has crept up is the specter of inflation. A stronger Chinese currency means higher prices for Chinese goods. Again it is one of those magic number issues, another words how much of and increase in the Yaun would be needed to raise prices noticeably. This sounds like more of the sky is falling argument, in the current economic circumstances runaway inflation has about as much chance of coming back as Jimmy Carter getting elected president in 2008. There are many on Wall Street who continue to harp that inflation is coming, inflation is coming, given that fact that we had a market bubble bust in 2000, followed by the attack of 9/11, the FED and the Treasury used an enormous amount of resources to fight and avoid deflation (like the 1930’s) any inflation would simply be temporary as there is a slight boost to inflation after all calamities have subsided due to the excess liquidity created to fight the calamities.

Again since you asked, the average car payment in the USA is $385.00 per month, if you invested the same amount starting with zero in 30 years at 9% return you would accumulate $417,569 after $108,488 taxes at a 28% rate. (Historically the stock market has returned around 11% per year) .If you were to invest tax free of $4000 per year ($334 per month)in a ROTH or Traditional IRA at 9% for 30 years you would end up with $585,483. A car payment can get you started so call me……

James
1(888)599-1188

Thursday, July 21, 2005

just the news

July 21 (Bloomberg) -- China loosened its fixed-exchange rate against the dollar for the first time in a decade, letting the yuan fluctuate versus a basket of currencies, the People's Bank of China said on its Web site.

One of the sources said that investigators found the TATP in the Leeds apartment rented by Magdy el-Nashar, an Egyptian biochemist detained for questioning Thursday in connection with the London attacks. (CNN)

CAIRO, Egypt - A well-liked Egyptian with an American college degree and no apparent interest in politics has been arrested as part of the investigation into the London bomb blasts. In Pakistan Friday, security forces investigating connections with the suicide bombings detained four suspects, a police office said. (MSNBC)

British-born Haroon Rashid Aswad was seized at a religious school with a suicide bomb belt, explosives and GBP 13,000 in cash. Security sources in the Pakistani capital, Islamabad, claim he had up to 20 telephone conversations with London bombers Mohammad Sidique Khan and Shehzad Tanweer. One of these is believed to have been just hours before the blasts. (Matt Drudge)

July 15, 2005 — One of the bombers in last week's attacks made a direct phone call to a suspected recruiter for an extremist group in New York. (ABC NEWS LONDON)

(CNSNews.com) - An American Muslim group under federal investigation is actually the U.S. division of a Pakistan-based faction with ties to Osama bin Laden and the Taliban, according to notes from an official meeting that were posted on an obscure Middle Eastern website and obtained by Cybercast News Service

"I believed very strongly that it was important for the Committee to conclude publicly that many of the statements made by Ambassador Wilson were not only incorrect, but had no basis in fact." (Intelligence Committee Chairman Pat Roberts)

"The former Ambassador (Joe Wilson), either by design or through ignorance, gave the American people and, for that matter, the world a version of events that was inaccurate, unsubstantiated, and misleading” (Intelligence Committee Chairman Pat Roberts)

Sen. John Kerry, who called for Karl Rove to be fired over allegations that he revealed the identity of CIA employee Valerie Plame, outed a genuine undercover CIA agent just this past April - even after the agency asked that his identity be kept secret. Kerry blew the cover of CIA secret operative Fulton Armstrong during confirmation hearings for U.N. ambassador nominee John Bolton (NEWSMAX)

If the Americans draw their missiles and position-guided ammunition on to the target zone on China's territory, I think we will have to respond with nuclear weapons,” said General Zhu Chenghu. (FT)

Hedge Funds have pried into nearly every nook of the investing world as they hunt for good returns. Recently, they have increased their focus on a sometimes tricky game: lending money to ailing, cash-strapped companies. (WSJ)

While employment keeps declining at American factories, they are cranking out more products than ever, and they are running closer to capacity than they have in half a decade. (WSJ)
"Contrary to the view out there that American manufacturing is dead or dying, [production] is growing at a pretty good clip," says Joseph Carson, director of global economic research with Alliance Capital Management LP in New York.

Two larger trends are at play in the increases. The first is continued productivity gains in the manufacturing sector, which means factories are producing more products with fewer workers. The other is a growing global economy, which allows U.S. producers to expand production even as upstart factories in places like China and Mexico build up market share. (WSJ)

July 20, 2005 -- Morgan Stanley's board is under attack by a pension fund looking to recover millions the company has paid to departing executives and a $1.58 billion court award the firm lost to mogul Ron Perelman.(NY POST)

July 21, 2005 -- THE Securities & Exchange Commission is investigating whether brokerage firms that did business with Fidelity Investments cheated by placing their own trades ahead of those of the big mutual fund company. On Wall Street this is called "front running." That simply means a brokerage firm, knowing that Fidelity is about to purchase or sell stock in a particular company, will execute its own orders first so as to guarantee itself a profit.(NY POST)

"I don't want to go outside the Green Zone in Baghdad," said the peripatetic stock picker. "Does that make me fearful, or smart? Sometimes fear keeps me from making bad decisions." (Jim Cramer, a former Goldman Sachs trader, hedge fund manager and current host of "Mad Money" on CNBC)

CHICAGO (AP) - The AFL-CIO succumbed to division Sunday, with its largest union deciding to bolt the 50-year-old federation and three others poised to do so in a dispute over how to reverse organized labor's long slide. The four unions, representing nearly one-third of the AFL-CIO's 13 million members, announced Sunday they would boycott the federation's convention that begins Monday. They are part of the Coalition to Win, a group of seven unions vowing to reform the labor movement - outside the AFL-CIO if necessary. ( RON FOURNIER)

Monday, July 18, 2005

Don’t laugh it worked for Martha...........

"i will come and visit you." , (mom )

Hey man, this pic looks great on you!!
Are you sure you'r collecting money for that cause? (I picture you in Mexico enjoying it!) (another happy client)

"Can I donate money to keep you in?" , (a client )

I haven't divulged it , but I am disabled with a neuro condition and a beneficiary of much of the work that MDA does. (a fellow blogger)


"that is a terrible picture of you. You look like you belong behind bars. Just for letting that picture be released, I think I'll let you stay there..." (another happy client )


"Thanks for your interest in The John Batchelor Show. Check out our new website: http://www.blogger.com/www.JohnBatchelorShow.com! All our books, music, and ways to contact John are available there."

Good luck and do not drop the soap!!!! (Freind)


"OK, You've gotton my sympathy. How can I make a donation ? :)" (friend)

How much in pledges are you looking for....when is this? And if so, can I be locked up with your girlfriend's friends? (another friend)

I’M GOING BEHIND BARS FOR GOOD!

I’M GOING BEHIND BARS FOR GOOD!A warrant has been issued for my arrest! As one of the area’s “Most Wanted,”I’m going to be “Locked up” to benefit the Muscular Dystrophy Association.With your help they may even let me out on good behavior! Contribute to my bail by donating to MDA via check or credit card. Stop by, call me Toll Free 1- 888-599-1188 or e-mail: jamesfoytlin@optonline.netyour offer to help.MDA©

Dow Jones Utilities Index


Raising utilities stock prices suggest an interest rate top?

*chart from the WSJ

Friday, July 15, 2005

this week in the news

The growth of higher wage jobs is outpacing that of lower-paying jobs for the first time in nearly four years, a study found. (WSJ)

WASHINGTON - As three senators joined President Bush's call for the Iranian regime to release dissident journalist Akbar Ganji from prison, the secretary-general of the United Nations, Kofi Annan, yesterday refused to comment when pressed, claiming ignorance on the matter. (NY SUN)

Britain is in shock. Not just from the traumatic and grudging realization last Thursday that the country is at war, but from the discovery that the attack on London was the work of four suicide bombers, all of them young British Muslims. (NY SUN)

July 13 (Bloomberg) -- The Bush administration is cutting its estimate of this year's U.S. budget deficit to about $330 billion, a Senate Republican aide said, as the growth in jobs and income boosts tax payments.

BRUSSELS (AFP) -European Commission said it had raided offices of Intel Corp and computer makers and sellers across Europe.
EUROPE wants to begin to regulate the internet for the first time by introducing controversial rules to cover television online. (TIMES ON LINE)

Controversial new European laws which could outlaw thousands of vitamin and mineral supplements were upheld by European Court judgesy. (Evening Standard UK)

(CNSNews.com) - Britain's main Muslim umbrella organization has reacted with shock to the news that police believe last Thursday's terrorist bombings in London were carried out by members of the British Muslim community rather than foreigners.

(CNSNews.com) - Britain's national broadcaster re-edited some of its online coverage of last Thursday's London bombings to remove references to "terrorists" and related words, after earlier appearing to have set aside its policy of not using the terms.

The man accused of killing Dutch filmmaker Theo van Gogh confessed to a Dutch court that he acted out of his religious beliefs, saying he would do "exactly the same" if he were ever set free. (AFP)

July 13 (Bloomberg) -- The International Energy Agency, an adviser to 26 oil-consuming countries, said oil demand will accelerate and rise 2.1 percent next year, a sign that prices at $60 a barrel have done little to restrain growth.

PARIS, July 13 - A sudden and mysterious drop in China's oil consumption helped to push down the International Energy Agency's estimate on Wednesday of global demand for this year. After growing 11 percent in 2003 and 15.4 percent last year, China's overall oil use declined 1 percent in the second quarter from the comparable quarter a year earlier, the agency said. (NYT)

"In the past decade, the United Kingdom's undisputed political, economic, and cultural center has also become a major world center of political Islam and anti-Semitic, anti-Israel, and anti-American activism," writes Hebrew University of Jerusalem academic Robert S. Wistrich …(CNS NEWS)

WASHINGTON - President Clinton yesterday added his voice to a growing chorus of Americans of various political persuasions who disagree with a recent Supreme Court ruling that upheld the government's use of eminent domain powers to take private property from one owner and give it to another. (NY SUN)

July 14 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. retail sales rose a larger-than- expected 1.7 percent in June, as price cuts at General Motors Corp. fueled spending on automobiles while summer temperatures drove purchases of such goods as barbecue grills, lounge chairs and lightweight clothing. Shoppers also spent more on gasoline.

July 14 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. consumer prices were unexpectedly unchanged in June, reflecting cheaper energy and apparel, a government report showed today.

WASHINGTON - A major source of chemical contamination in the Arctic turns out to be bird droppings. Wind currents and human activities long have been blamed for fouling the pristine Arctic. But a study by a group of Canadian researchers found that the chemical pollution in areas frequented by seabirds can be many times higher than in nearby regions. (AP)

Ganji must be Free

July 12, 2005

Hello,

I just love a summer rally, yes that’s right the market continues to rally and you herd it here first not every stock not everyday and sure the volume is a bit weak but none the less the summer rally is in full bloom. NASDQ looks to have pushed through some very significant resistance around the 2100 level. Again I will repeat the market stages a summer rally, followed by a September through 3rd week of October sell off .Then after about October 20th give or take the real decade rally starts, similar to the fall off 1995 thru mid 1996. The semiconductors are beginning to move upward. They are often one of first sectors to rally signifying the beginning of a new bull market. Mind you it is important to continue to look for confirmation, if the Semi’s fail all bets are off. I know you have herd it all be for, so let the market show you. Scale in making the decision to add more to equities with each passing day buying on weakness or adding to strong positions.

So how does it work, the government lowered tax rates and tax revenues increased? Think of it like running an airline and you want to fill all your planes and eliminate all the empty seats. You simply cut fares and more people fly .Now that wasn’t so complicated was it. Gee you mean people are smart enough to take advantage of sales and discounts, are you? You mean people will buy more when they get a discount? Perhaps you have even made a purchase decision based on the opportunity to take advantage of a sale, I certainly have? I know, never; you always pay more just to prove you’re paying your way …yea right. Everybody loves a bargain, especially business looking to make investments in equipment and expansion. Still not sure ask GM about the Employee discount for everyone program. Taxes are a cost we all share and if taxes are decreased costs decline: more money for you, more fore me to buy, hire, build, expand and advertise; It is really that simple.

Get Me Out Of Jail,fund raiser for MDA
Yes I am going behind bars .I am going to be locked up to benefit Muscular Dystrophy Association .With your help by contributing to my bail we can make a difference! Contribute today by donating to MDA via check, or credit card or cash! No donation is to small! Stop by and see me, call 1(888) 599-1188 or email jamesfoytlin@optonline.net, or I can pick up a check at your home or office.Thank you,James Foytlin

Monday, July 11, 2005


NASDQ 2000

DOW 1929

Get Me Out Of Jail,fund raiser for MDA

Yes I am going behind bars .I am going to be locked up to benefit Muscular Dystrophy Association .With your help by contributing to my bail we can make a difference! Contribute today by donating to MDA via check, or credit card or cash! Stop by and see me, call 1(888) 599-1188 or email jamesfoytlin@optonline.net, or I can pick up a check at your home.

Thank you,

James Foytlin
54 Washington Place
Ridgewood NJ 07450